Expert: The Central Economic Work Conference has determined that the tone of monetary policy in 2025 is "moderately loose". Dong Ximiao, the chief researcher of Zhaolian and a part-time researcher at the Institute of Finance of Fudan University, believes that the Central Economic Work Conference has determined that the tone of monetary policy in 2025 is "moderately loose" not only because of the analysis of the current economic situation, but also because of the full consideration of external uncertainties and the planning of economic work next year. Looking forward to the follow-up, in 2025, moderately loose monetary policy can continue to exert its strength in three aspects, which is more forward-looking, effective and targeted. First, it is necessary to intensify counter-cyclical and cross-cyclical adjustment, make pre-adjustment in an unconventional way, let policy adjustment go ahead of the market curve, help the macro economy smooth out cyclical fluctuations and external shocks, and show forward-looking; Second, continue to reduce the RRR and interest rates. In 2025, the RRR can be lowered by 0.5 percentage points, the policy interest rate will be lowered by 50 basis points, and the LPR will be reduced by 25 basis points, thus ensuring more abundant liquidity in the total amount, moderately reducing costs and enhancing effectiveness; Third, make good use of the existing structural monetary policy tools, create new tools when necessary, enrich the "eighteen martial arts" in the toolbox, guide and support financial institutions to do the "five major articles", especially increase support for scientific and technological innovation, green development, consumer finance, etc., and reflect pertinence. (Xinhua Finance)There is great potential for financing support and resource guidance to jointly drive the capital market to help green transformation. The the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee meeting held on December 9 pointed out that it is necessary to jointly promote carbon reduction, pollution reduction and green growth, and accelerate the comprehensive green transformation of economic and social development. In fact, whether it is technological innovation or industrial linkage, it is a process of multi-factor synergy, in which capital plays a particularly key role. In recent years, the capital market has continuously improved its "green content", helping the green transformation of the real economy to run out of "acceleration". On the one hand, it strongly supports the financing and refinancing of green enterprises with the help of multi-level capital market system and diversified product system, and promotes the vigorous development and transformation of the whole green industry field with the development and growth of individual enterprises; On the other hand, it actively guides the rational allocation of funds to green enterprises and promotes the large-scale development of green industries by improving the compilation and release of green indexes and formulating the evaluation standards and index framework of green investment. Song Xiangqing, vice president of China Business Economics Association, said that in the future, with the deepening of green transformation, the capital market will show the development trends of product diversification, service specialization, standardization of standards and further deepening of international cooperation in the development of green industries. (Securities Daily)A number of officials from Turkey and Qatar will visit Syria to meet with the Syrian transitional government. On the 12th local time, the Syrian Ministry of Information announced that the Turkish Foreign Minister, the head of the intelligence department and the head of Qatar's national security department will visit Syria and meet with the leader of the Sharm el-Liberation Organization, Giulani, and the caretaker Prime Minister of the Syrian transitional government, Bashir. Up to now, Turkish and Qatar officials have not announced relevant news.
ECB source: A few policy makers initially agreed to cut interest rates by 50 basis points.President of the European Central Bank: The euro zone economy continues to be weak and is still preparing to cut interest rates further. On December 12, local time, after the European Central Bank announced its decision to cut all three key interest rates by 25 basis points, President Lagarde of the European Central Bank subsequently held a press conference. She said that the Governing Council of the European Central Bank unanimously agreed to cut interest rates by 25 basis points, mainly based on the latest assessment of the current inflationary pressure, future prospects and the transmission degree of monetary policy to the real economy. On the same day, the European Central Bank also released the latest macroeconomic forecast, further lowering its expectations for economic growth in the euro zone. Lagarde said that poor economic development and continued weakness are worrying. She said that trade friction may drag down economic growth, and extensive geopolitical development is one of the upward risks of inflation. In view of the fact that the current economic growth in the euro zone is hit by domestic political instability in various countries, especially large economies such as Germany and France, and may face the threat of punitive tariffs imposed by US President-elect Trump, the European Central Bank is still preparing to cut interest rates further. Lagarde said that the ECB Council is determined to ensure that inflation is sustainable and stable at the medium-term target of 2%. The next interest rate decision is scheduled for January 30, 2025.Israeli military officials: They are preparing for possible attacks on Iran's nuclear facilities. On the 12th local time, Israeli military officials said that with the weakening of Iran's proxy groups in the Middle East and the stepping down of the Syrian Assad regime, the Israeli Air Force is preparing for possible attacks on Iran's nuclear facilities. The Israeli army believes that "isolated Iran may further advance its nuclear program." At present, the Israeli Air Force has destroyed most of Syria's air defense systems and believes that there is now an opportunity to launch an attack on Iran's nuclear facilities.
Precious metal futures continued to fall, and the main contract of Shanghai Bank fell by nearly 2%, and it is now reported at 7798 yuan/kg; The main contract of Shanghai Gold fell by nearly 1% and is now reported at 623.08 yuan/gram.Fitch: The possible trade policy changes after the results of the 2024 election in the United States will bring risks in 2025 and may reduce the demand for shipping companies.Spot silver fell 3.00% in the day and is now reported at $30.94 per ounce.
Strategy guide
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide
12-14